Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.711486 0.815610 0.928895 1.061197 1.211369 1.376426 1.571504
2024-12-29 0.559330 0.700830 0.867988 1.079597 1.339910 1.649234 2.044255
2025-01-05 0.434591 0.591151 0.790636 1.062461 1.422138 1.880587 2.508006
2025-01-12 0.354652 0.520439 0.746900 1.076962 1.543578 2.177147 3.099742
2025-01-19 0.281875 0.444239 0.680960 1.048294 1.600397 2.394927 3.619514
2025-01-26 0.242963 0.408731 0.665189 1.086402 1.755384 2.769579 4.413899
2025-02-02 0.214638 0.383627 0.659816 1.137774 1.936196 3.205428 5.359942
2025-02-09 0.184141 0.348719 0.632121 1.147462 2.050305 3.550864 6.209782
2025-02-16 0.157906 0.315938 0.601865 1.146659 2.144724 3.874009 7.063203
2025-02-23 0.136940 0.288659 0.576307 1.149031 2.243169 4.214010 7.986482
2025-03-02 0.119414 0.264580 0.552338 1.149706 2.337022 4.555362 8.952469
2025-03-09 0.107352 0.249265 0.542565 1.175644 2.481156 5.004416 10.169961
2025-03-16 0.093662 0.228122 0.518068 1.169128 2.562591 5.349262 11.241771
2025-03-23 0.084654 0.215716 0.509876 1.195387 2.714587 5.850947 12.685782
2025-03-30 0.073849 0.196960 0.484618 1.180391 2.776894 6.178904 13.817763
2025-04-06 0.066768 0.185894 0.474969 1.198982 2.915121 6.681495 15.376712
2025-04-13 0.057796 0.168154 0.446500 1.168835 2.938358 6.939466 16.439207
2025-04-20 0.053884 0.163102 0.448276 1.212195 3.139343 7.613874 18.504943
2025-04-27 0.051001 0.160328 0.455373 1.269956 3.382941 8.413477 20.948452
2025-05-04 0.046348 0.151502 0.445099 1.281192 3.512681 8.963044 22.872576
2025-05-11 0.041774 0.141950 0.431225 1.280610 3.612106 9.451675 24.707666
2025-05-18 0.037857 0.133603 0.419292 1.283447 3.720820 9.975531 26.689112
2025-05-25 0.034321 0.125718 0.407340 1.284326 3.824369 10.498387 28.727911